You have to win the games that are winnable. Just looking at the Reds-Phillies series, for example, there was probably no way the Reds were going to win game 1. Halladay was too good. And sometimes a team is on fire at bat and you get down 12-0. You might occasionally win those games, but not on any kind of regular basis.
The kind of game I'm talking about is game 2 in the Reds-Phils series. That game was there for the taking, 4-3 after 6 innings. At that point either team could win it. Only one team did. My general observation is that when you have 2 fairly evenly matched teams, there will be blowouts in both directions in similar numbers. There will also be a few games that are closely contested and it's the team that wins those that is usually victorious.
The closest analog I can think of is in basketball or hockey or soccer, whichever team comes up with the majority of the loose balls (or 50-50 balls) almost always wins the game. Win the little contests to win the big one.
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